Bracketology predictions are wrong...for the Big Ten

By John Williams

After firing up my computer and taking some sips of my Monster energy drink, I did my usual routine of opening up web pages and analyzing, and maybe criticizing, yesterday’s action in college basketball.

My favorite topic as of late is all of the bubble watch talk.

So, you can imagine how surprised I was when I saw Michigan State and Michigan as the only two Big Ten teams in bubble talk discussion on CBS Sports website.

Yes, Michigan. The team that only has one win inside the top 50. A Wolverine team that has beaten up on “bottom feeders” for most of their season. I don’t mean to make disparaging remarks about a fellow Big Ten squad, but Michigan?

Minnesota is definitely in the bubble watch discussion. Maybe Penn State. Probably not Michigan.

Traditionally, I’ve always considered the bubble watch to be the sports pundits personal favorites list. The general concept is a sports pundit just picking teams almost at random that have a favorable chance of making a tournament run. There’s no science. I feel like RPI and SOS is widely disregarded as it is.

Michigan doesn’t have a choice at this point. They have to win at home against Wisconsin or they’re not tournament caliber and deserve a bid to the always dreaded NIT. Not to mention, the Wolverines are currently sitting in eighth place in the Big Ten. Plus, they’ve struggled with making up deficits on the road. Does that look like a team in the top 68 in the nation?

As for Penn State, they must take 3-out-of-4 to round out their schedule or make up some games in the Big Ten Tournament starting March 10 in Indianapolis. They currently sit at number 5 in the Big Ten with 7-7 record. They have Illinois, Wisconsin, Purdue and Ohio State ahead of them. But Michigan State is sitting anxiously behind the Nittany Lions at 6-7, so there’s no time to get comfortable.

So, other than the usual suspects (Ohio State, Purdue, Wisconsin, Illinois and maybe Minnesota), who is in? Is Penn State, who can look dynamic at times? How about the Spartans, who’ve caught second wind and look rejuvenated? Or is it the Wolverines, who desperately need a win versus quality opponents?

You, the Big Ten Hoops Talk reader, decide.

Originally published Friday, Feb. 18 at 8:18 a.m.